Traders know that oil prices, terrorism, and corporate debt restructuring, things that really cannot be controlled, have a large influence on the stock market. Lots of investors avoid airline stocks and shares because of this. They can't control one of their biggest expenses (fuel) and an act of terrorism can certainly damage the market.

Why are cruise stocks any better? Rising fuel expenses as well as Hurricane Katrina led to lower stock prices for companies like Carnival Corporation and Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. Those two cruise lines account for about 75 % of the cruise industry, around the world.

When George Allen Smith IV, out of Connecticut, vanished while on a Royal Caribbean cruise, the industry received lots of bad publicity.

Surely, you will find many negative aspects for cruise stocks and shares, but some traders are bullish. First, there is no direct indication that the disappearing honeymooner from Connecticut has damaged ticket prices. Values on these stocks and shares also look great.

Carnival Corporation trades at 16 times estimated 2006 profits. Its historic range is 10 to thirty times earnings. Royal Caribbean trades at 14 times projected '06 earnings. Its historic range is 5 to 24 times earnings. Growth potential is strong as only 4 percent of Americans have ever gone on a cruise.

When considering cruise stocks and shares, remember the potential for loss. A sharp surge in fuel costs or another terrorist attack would likely have an unfavorable impact on cruise stocks and shares.

If you're undecided about this investment, do you know how to short a stock? This might be a far greater route for you, especially if you're suffering from corporate debt restructuring.

In my opinion the risk exceeds the possible reward as I do not anticipate cruise lines to substantially outperform the broader market.

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